Richard Fernandez of the Belmont club notes something
"Tetlock described how analysts who failed to predict the fall of the Soviet Union still argued that if the coup attempts against Yeltsin had been somewhat better organized and succeeded there would still be a USSR. Hence they were almost right but they were betrayed by facts."
Hmm... alot of people are more bound to their own ideas than the actual facts and reality of events.
The link shows the obvious current examples.
He also has a post of some heroism and interesting stories from Iraq and Afghanistan.
Couple interesting combat reports
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